Q. Europa League Tercera Ronda Final
Global 0-2
Cherno More Varna vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.8%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
41.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2009 |
PSV
1 - 0
CVA
66%
21%
14%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2009 |
ISK
0 - 3
CVA
32%
28%
41%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
CVA
1 - 0
ISK
56%
26%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
FKM
2 - 2
CVA
28%
29%
43%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
CVA
2 - 0
SSO
42%
28%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
PSV
3 - 3
VVV
73%
17%
10%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2009 |
PSV
1 - 0
CVA
66%
21%
14%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
WIL
0 - 3
PSV
22%
25%
53%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
PSV
1 - 1
NEC
69%
19%
12%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
HER
0 - 2
PSV
18%
25%
57%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |