Cherno More Varna vs Ludogorets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
36.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
5º
6º
6º
85
2º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
84 | 11 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
85 | 11 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 7 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 5 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 4 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
54 | 1 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
LPL
2 - 1
CVA
46%
28%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
LSO
2 - 1
CVA
45%
28%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
CVA
1 - 1
CSK
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
CSK
2 - 0
CVA
49%
27%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
LUD
1 - 2
CVA
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
LUD
3 - 2
LSO
56%
24%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
CSK
2 - 2
LUD
47%
24%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
CSK
1 - 3
LUD
47%
23%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
LUD
2 - 2
CSK
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
LUD
1 - 0
LPL
54%
24%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |