Cherno More Varna vs Ludogorets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
38.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
CVA
6 - 0
DOB
82%
13%
5%
|
76 | 47 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
CVA
4 - 0
SOZ
79%
15%
6%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
CVA
4 - 1
DUN
74%
17%
9%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
CVA
3 - 0
CHE
80%
14%
6%
|
76 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
CVA
3 - 3
DOB
80%
15%
6%
|
76 | 47 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
ARK
0 - 4
LUD
32%
25%
43%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2022 |
LUD
4 - 0
SVA
76%
15%
9%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
LUD
1 - 0
DTB
57%
22%
21%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2022 |
DYN
4 - 1
LUD
61%
22%
18%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2022 |
LUD
2 - 1
PLO
54%
22%
24%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |