Cherno More Varna vs Litex Lovech analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
37.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
CVA
1 - 1
LUD
37%
29%
34%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
LSO
1 - 0
CVA
58%
24%
18%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
CVA
2 - 0
LPL
43%
27%
29%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 1
CVA
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CVA
0 - 0
CSK
37%
29%
34%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Litex Lovech
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
LSO
1 - 2
LOV
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
LOV
3 - 0
LPL
57%
23%
21%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
BOT
2 - 1
LOV
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
LUD
2 - 1
LOV
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
LOV
0 - 1
CSK
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |