Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
21.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 0
CVA
24%
26%
50%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
NEF
0 - 1
CVA
37%
28%
36%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
CVA
3 - 1
LUD
27%
27%
46%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
LSO
1 - 1
CVA
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2013 |
BER
0 - 0
CVA
43%
29%
28%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
KAL
1 - 2
LSO
41%
25%
34%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
LSO
1 - 0
BER
34%
28%
38%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2013 |
LPL
3 - 1
LSO
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
LSO
1 - 1
CSK
28%
28%
45%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
SSO
3 - 1
LSO
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |