Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
31.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2009 |
OFK
1 - 0
CVA
35%
29%
37%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2009 |
CVA
1 - 1
SSO
44%
28%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
LOK
1 - 2
CVA
35%
27%
37%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
CVA
0 - 0
LOV
42%
28%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
SPO
2 - 1
CVA
25%
29%
46%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
SSO
0 - 0
LSO
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
LSO
0 - 1
LOV
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2009 |
FKM
1 - 2
LSO
28%
27%
45%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
LSO
2 - 2
BOT
66%
21%
14%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2009 |
SLI
1 - 3
LSO
30%
29%
41%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |