Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
33.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
LOK
2 - 2
CVA
22%
26%
52%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2016 |
CVA
1 - 0
MON
56%
26%
18%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +2 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
OFK
1 - 3
CVA
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
LSO
1 - 0
CVA
56%
22%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
LPL
2 - 1
CVA
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
MON
0 - 3
LPL
32%
27%
42%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
LPL
2 - 2
LSO
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 1
LPL
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
OFK
1 - 2
LPL
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +2 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
LPL
2 - 1
CVA
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |