Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
31.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CSK
4 - 1
CVA
52%
26%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
CVA
7 - 1
KAL
76%
18%
6%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
CHB
3 - 2
CVA
48%
27%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CVA
3 - 0
LSO
48%
27%
25%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
LUD
0 - 2
CVA
50%
26%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
LPL
2 - 1
SSO
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
SVE
0 - 1
LPL
8%
20%
72%
|
78 | 47 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
LOV
0 - 1
LPL
48%
25%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
LPL
3 - 2
VID
85%
11%
4%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2012 |
BER
1 - 1
LPL
25%
27%
48%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |