Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda Final
Global 4-0
Cherno More Varna vs Iskra Rîbniţa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
18.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
FKM
2 - 2
CVA
28%
29%
43%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
CVA
2 - 0
SSO
42%
28%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
SVA
0 - 1
CVA
28%
29%
43%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
CVA
1 - 0
CSK
44%
28%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
SLI
0 - 1
CVA
32%
27%
42%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Iskra Rîbniţa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
MIL
0 - 3
ISK
37%
30%
33%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
ISK
1 - 0
TIR
47%
30%
23%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
TIT
1 - 2
ISK
28%
30%
41%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | +2 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
ISK
2 - 0
NIS
42%
31%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
TIG
0 - 3
ISK
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |