Cherno More Varna vs CSKA 1948 Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
32.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
5º
6º
6º
64
4º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
84 | 11 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
85 | 11 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 7 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
64 | 5 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 4 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
54 | 1 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2023 |
CSK
2 - 0
CVA
49%
27%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
LUD
1 - 2
CVA
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
CVA
3 - 2
SVA
69%
21%
11%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
ARK
2 - 2
CVA
40%
28%
32%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
CVA
0 - 0
CSK
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA 1948 Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
CSK
2 - 2
LSO
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
CSK
2 - 2
LSO
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
CSK
0 - 1
SSO
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
SVA
3 - 3
CSK
18%
25%
57%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
CVA
0 - 0
CSK
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |