Cherno More Varna vs Botev Plovdiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.5%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
32%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
CSK
2 - 0
CVA
54%
26%
20%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
CVA
1 - 1
LOV
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
CVA
1 - 1
LUD
37%
29%
34%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
LSO
1 - 0
CVA
58%
24%
18%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
CVA
2 - 0
LPL
43%
27%
29%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Botev Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
BOT
2 - 0
LSO
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
LSO
0 - 1
BOT
36%
28%
36%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
LPL
0 - 3
BOT
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
BOT
3 - 1
LSO
68%
18%
14%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
CSK
2 - 0
BOT
49%
27%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |