Cherno More Varna vs Beroe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
21.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2011 |
LPL
1 - 0
CVA
57%
24%
20%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
CVA
0 - 0
CSK
41%
28%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2011 |
KAL
0 - 5
CVA
20%
29%
51%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
CVA
0 - 2
CHB
46%
28%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
LSO
0 - 0
CVA
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Beroe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
BER
1 - 0
SSO
29%
29%
42%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
SVE
1 - 3
BER
14%
24%
62%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
BER
1 - 0
VID
61%
24%
15%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
BER
4 - 1
ETA
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
MON
0 - 0
BER
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |