Cherno More Varna vs Arda Kardzhali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
19.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2020 |
FCT
1 - 4
CVA
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2020 |
CVA
2 - 2
ETA
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2020 |
CVA
1 - 0
FKV
72%
20%
9%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2020 |
CVA
2 - 0
FKV
71%
20%
9%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2020 |
BER
3 - 0
CVA
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Arda Kardzhali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2020 |
BVR
0 - 0
ARK
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2020 |
ARK
1 - 0
BOT
35%
27%
38%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2020 |
ARK
0 - 2
DUN
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2020 |
ARK
1 - 3
LSO
23%
27%
51%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2020 |
ARK
1 - 1
LUD
20%
26%
54%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |