Cherno More Varna vs Akademik Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
+3
13.2%
2-0
17.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.6%
1-0
18.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
0
19.9%
8%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
LPL
2 - 0
CVA
47%
26%
28%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
CVA
2 - 1
OFK
51%
27%
22%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2010 |
CVA
1 - 1
SEP
82%
14%
5%
|
78 | 8 | 70 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
CVA
2 - 1
MON
62%
24%
14%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
CSK
2 - 2
CVA
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Akademik Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
AKA
1 - 2
VID
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2010 |
CHB
0 - 0
AKA
75%
17%
7%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
NES
1 - 2
AKA
51%
25%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
AKA
3 - 2
SEP
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
BAL
2 - 3
AKA
37%
27%
36%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |