Cherbourg vs Nîmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.2%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
42.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.3%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
RED
0 - 2
CHE
40%
29%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
CHE
0 - 1
FCR
25%
27%
48%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
FRE
1 - 0
CHE
66%
21%
13%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
CHE
1 - 0
VAN
22%
27%
51%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
LPS
1 - 1
CHE
47%
27%
26%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
NÎM
4 - 1
FCM
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
NÎM
3 - 0
BRC
60%
23%
18%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
RED
1 - 2
NÎM
27%
31%
43%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
NÎM
1 - 2
FCR
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
FRE
2 - 0
NÎM
53%
26%
21%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |