Cherbourg vs Fréjus St-Raphaël analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
48.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
VAN
1 - 1
CHE
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
LUZ
3 - 2
CHE
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2012 |
CHE
1 - 2
LPS
37%
27%
35%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
CHE
1 - 2
CHA
29%
25%
46%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
CHE
0 - 2
COL
37%
28%
36%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Fréjus St-Raphaël
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
FRE
1 - 0
FCM
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2012 |
NÎM
4 - 1
FRE
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
FRE
0 - 3
AJA
33%
26%
42%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
FRE
2 - 0
FCR
41%
27%
33%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
BRC
3 - 2
FRE
30%
28%
43%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |