Cherbourg vs CA Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
PFC
0 - 4
CHE
43%
25%
32%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
CHE
4 - 3
FCR
37%
26%
37%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
RED
3 - 0
CHE
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
CHE
1 - 1
COL
34%
27%
40%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
BOU
2 - 1
CHE
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CA Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
CAB
3 - 2
ORL
44%
28%
29%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
LPS
0 - 0
CAB
59%
24%
17%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
PFC
0 - 1
CAB
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
CAB
5 - 3
FCR
29%
26%
45%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
RED
1 - 0
CAB
50%
27%
23%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |