Cherbourg vs AG Caennaise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
45.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
10º
3º
40
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
34% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
66% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
66% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ALE
0 - 0
CHE
65%
19%
16%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MGA
1 - 0
CHE
26%
21%
53%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CHE
0 - 0
SAI
44%
23%
33%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
CHE
1 - 2
OIS
23%
23%
55%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
CHE
3 - 2
QUE
48%
24%
28%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
AG Caennaise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
AGC
1 - 2
AFV
34%
22%
45%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
DIE
0 - 1
AGC
27%
23%
50%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
GRQ
1 - 4
AGC
23%
21%
57%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
AFV
0 - 0
AGC
57%
20%
23%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
AGC
1 - 2
AVR
73%
15%
12%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -1 |