Chepstow Town FC vs Pill AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
4%
2-1
7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
45.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chepstow Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
SGA
2 - 2
CTF
16%
18%
66%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
CTF
4 - 0
AUA
68%
17%
15%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
CTF
7 - 0
PLL
21%
19%
60%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CTF
1 - 2
PON
5%
12%
84%
|
13 | 48 | 35 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CTF
1 - 0
RKP
69%
17%
14%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Pill AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
CTF
7 - 0
PLL
21%
19%
60%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
PON
3 - 1
PLL
66%
18%
16%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
PLL
2 - 1
CAR
7%
13%
80%
|
17 | 64 | 47 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
PLL
4 - 0
CAL
15%
17%
68%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | +2 |