Chepo vs Independiente Chorrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
32%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chepo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
CHE
2 - 0
AFC
43%
28%
30%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
ARA
1 - 0
CHE
60%
25%
15%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CHE
0 - 2
TAU
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
SMI
1 - 4
CHE
61%
23%
16%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
CHE
1 - 2
SFF
33%
28%
39%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
ARA
4 - 0
IND
48%
28%
24%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
TAU
3 - 0
IND
49%
27%
24%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
IND
0 - 1
SMI
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
SFF
0 - 1
IND
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
IND
0 - 1
AMA
47%
28%
25%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |