Chepo vs Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
31.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chepo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
ARA
1 - 0
CHE
52%
27%
21%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
CHE
0 - 0
AMA
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
AFC
0 - 1
CHE
44%
28%
28%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
CHE
1 - 0
SFF
35%
27%
38%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
CHO
1 - 0
CHE
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
CHO
0 - 0
AFC
59%
24%
18%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
RIO
0 - 1
CHO
37%
28%
35%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
CHO
0 - 2
SFF
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
TAU
2 - 1
CHO
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
CHO
1 - 0
CHE
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |