Chepo vs Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
33.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chepo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
CHE
2 - 1
IND
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
SMI
1 - 0
CHE
62%
23%
15%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
CHE
2 - 0
RIO
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
TAU
1 - 1
CHE
62%
23%
15%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CHE
2 - 4
SFF
32%
27%
41%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
CHO
1 - 1
ARA
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
IND
0 - 0
CHO
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
CHO
1 - 1
AMA
56%
25%
20%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
SMI
2 - 0
CHO
48%
26%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CHO
1 - 0
AFC
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |