Chepo vs Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
35.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chepo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
AFC
2 - 0
CHE
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
RIO
2 - 3
CHE
56%
26%
18%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
CHE
0 - 1
TAU
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
CHI
2 - 0
CHE
45%
28%
27%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
CHE
1 - 2
SMI
44%
28%
29%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
CHO
2 - 1
RIO
46%
27%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
TAU
6 - 4
CHO
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
CHO
2 - 0
CHI
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
SMI
0 - 2
CHO
55%
25%
21%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
CHO
0 - 3
AMA
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |