Chepo vs Árabe Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
39.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chepo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
TAU
1 - 1
CHE
62%
23%
15%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
CHE
0 - 1
SMI
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
SFF
3 - 0
CHE
57%
25%
18%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
CHE
0 - 0
AMA
42%
28%
30%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
RIO
2 - 1
CHE
42%
30%
29%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Árabe Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
AFC
2 - 4
ARA
38%
28%
34%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ARA
0 - 0
TAU
39%
28%
33%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
SMI
1 - 2
ARA
42%
29%
29%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
ARA
1 - 0
SFF
42%
29%
30%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
AMA
1 - 1
ARA
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |