Chepo vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
21.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chepo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
SMI
2 - 2
CHE
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
CHE
2 - 0
AMA
41%
28%
31%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
SFF
0 - 2
CHE
61%
24%
15%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CHE
1 - 1
CHI
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
CHE
0 - 3
TAU
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
AFC
2 - 1
ARA
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
CHO
1 - 1
AFC
64%
23%
14%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
AFC
4 - 0
IND
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
AFC
0 - 2
TAU
40%
26%
34%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
SMI
3 - 1
AFC
61%
23%
16%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |