Chepo vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
29.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chepo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
SFF
2 - 1
CHE
62%
23%
15%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
CHE
1 - 2
CHO
39%
27%
34%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
CHE
2 - 1
IND
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
SMI
1 - 0
CHE
62%
23%
15%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
CHE
2 - 0
RIO
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2013 |
AFC
1 - 3
IND
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
SMI
3 - 1
AFC
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
AFC
0 - 2
RIO
50%
26%
25%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
TAU
1 - 1
AFC
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
AFC
2 - 0
ARA
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |