Chepo vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
10.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chepo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
CHE
1 - 1
SMI
51%
26%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
CHO
0 - 0
CHE
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
CHE
5 - 2
CHI
39%
26%
36%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
AMA
2 - 1
CHE
29%
26%
45%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2010 |
CHE
1 - 0
TAU
30%
25%
45%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
SFF
1 - 1
AFC
73%
18%
10%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
AFC
1 - 1
ARA
20%
26%
54%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2010 |
VER
2 - 1
AFC
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
SMI
2 - 3
AFC
77%
15%
8%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
AFC
1 - 0
CHO
25%
28%
47%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | +2 |