Cheonan City vs Busan Transportation analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
10.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cheonan City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 1
CHE
28%
27%
46%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
MOK
0 - 1
CHE
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
CHE
2 - 1
DAE
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
GAN
0 - 0
CHE
32%
28%
40%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
GIM
2 - 0
CHE
53%
26%
22%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Busan Transportation
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
BUS
1 - 1
DAE
24%
25%
51%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
BUS
0 - 0
GAN
20%
23%
57%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
GIM
2 - 0
BUS
76%
17%
7%
|
44 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
BUS
0 - 1
GYE
12%
24%
65%
|
44 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
BUS
2 - 2
MOK
21%
26%
54%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |