Chennaiyin vs Mohun Bagan SG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
40.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
2º
10º
11º
46
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
46 | 53 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 44 |
2º
|
58.5% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 44 |
3º
|
44% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 36 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 36 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 35 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 35 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 31 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 31 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 28 |
10º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
18 | 25 |
11º
|
59% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 18 |
12º
|
61% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 16 |
13º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 96.5% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 3% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chennaiyin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
MOH
2 - 2
CHE
32%
26%
43%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2025 |
CHE
2 - 2
DEL
29%
25%
46%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
CHE
2 - 4
BEN
33%
26%
41%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
MUM
1 - 0
CHE
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2024 |
CHE
1 - 0
HYD
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Mohun Bagan SG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
JAM
1 - 1
MBS
45%
25%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
MBS
1 - 0
EAS
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2025 |
MBS
3 - 0
HYD
74%
17%
10%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
MIN
1 - 3
MBS
32%
26%
42%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
GOA
2 - 1
MBS
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |