Chennaiyin vs Punjab FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
32.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
2º
10º
11º
23
2º
8º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 53 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 44 |
2º
|
58.5% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 44 |
3º
|
44% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 36 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 36 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 35 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 35 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 31 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
|
9º
|
23 | 31 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 28 |
10º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
18 | 25 |
11º
|
59% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 18 |
12º
|
61% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 16 |
13º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 12.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 87.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chennaiyin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
CHE
1 - 3
KER
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
GOA
2 - 0
CHE
57%
22%
21%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
CHE
0 - 0
MBS
34%
26%
41%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
MOH
2 - 2
CHE
32%
26%
43%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2025 |
CHE
2 - 2
DEL
29%
25%
46%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Punjab FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
MBS
3 - 0
MIN
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
MIN
3 - 2
BEN
32%
26%
41%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2025 |
MIN
1 - 2
JAM
33%
26%
41%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
MIN
1 - 1
MUM
29%
25%
47%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
NOR
1 - 1
MIN
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |