Chengdu Rongcheng vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
2º
7º
3º
24
2º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 74 |
1º
|
85.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 70 |
2º
|
81% | |
|
|
3º
|
42 | 59 |
3º
|
45% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 57 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 57 |
5º
|
33% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 43 |
6º
|
61% | |
|
|
7º
|
24 | 38 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 38 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 35 |
9º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 32 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 31 |
11º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 30 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 26 |
13º
|
25% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 25 |
14º
|
22% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 25 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 22 |
16º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
45% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
51% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chengdu Rongcheng
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 1
CBC
15%
24%
61%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
CBC
4 - 0
SHI
78%
15%
8%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
QIN
1 - 5
CBC
27%
27%
46%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
SCF
1 - 1
CBC
4%
10%
86%
|
76 | 17 | 59 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
SHA
1 - 1
CBC
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
TIT
2 - 2
CHA
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
TIT
3 - 0
SJF
54%
26%
21%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 1
TIT
23%
26%
51%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
YUN
1 - 1
TIT
17%
19%
64%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
TIT
0 - 3
SHA
19%
23%
59%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |