Chengdu Rongcheng vs Cangzhou Mighty Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
7.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
2º
7º
3º
28
4º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 78 |
1º
|
85% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 76 |
2º
|
85% | |
|
|
3º
|
52 | 59 |
3º
|
86.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 56 |
4º
|
86.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 47 |
5º
|
93.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 40 |
6º
|
65% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
34% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 35 |
9º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
28 | 32 |
10º
|
26% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 31 |
11º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 31 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 29 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 28 |
14º
|
32% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
65% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 22 |
16º
|
86% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
86.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
13.5% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chengdu Rongcheng
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
QIN
1 - 5
CBC
27%
27%
46%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
SCF
1 - 1
CBC
4%
10%
86%
|
76 | 17 | 59 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
SHA
1 - 1
CBC
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
CBC
7 - 0
QYI
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
SHA
2 - 0
CBC
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
BEI
4 - 0
SHI
78%
15%
8%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
NAN
1 - 0
SHI
35%
23%
42%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
SHI
0 - 1
QIN
35%
28%
38%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
SHA
4 - 1
SHI
81%
14%
6%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 1
SHI
35%
26%
39%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |