Chengdu Rongcheng vs Guangzhou FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chengdu Rongcheng
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
CBC
3 - 0
GUA
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2022 |
CBC
2 - 1
SHA
19%
22%
59%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
CBC
3 - 0
HEB
81%
13%
6%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CBC
3 - 2
SHA
35%
28%
38%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2022 |
CBC
2 - 2
CHA
38%
25%
37%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Guangzhou FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 1
HEN
37%
28%
36%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
SHE
2 - 1
GUA
33%
26%
42%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
SJF
2 - 4
GUA
23%
23%
54%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
DAL
1 - 1
GUA
39%
26%
36%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 5
HAN
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |