Chengdu Rongcheng vs Nantong Zhiyun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chengdu Rongcheng
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
CBC
2 - 1
TIT
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 1
CBC
15%
24%
61%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
CBC
4 - 0
SHI
78%
15%
8%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
QIN
1 - 5
CBC
27%
27%
46%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
SCF
1 - 1
CBC
4%
10%
86%
|
76 | 17 | 59 | +1 |
Matches
Nantong Zhiyun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
MEI
2 - 1
GUA
47%
25%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 1
CBC
15%
24%
61%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
WFC
1 - 2
GUA
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +2 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 1
TIT
23%
26%
51%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
SSP
1 - 3
GUA
10%
15%
75%
|
58 | 33 | 25 | 0 |