Chengdu Rongcheng vs Changchun Yatai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
12.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
2º
7º
3º
27
9º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 78 |
1º
|
82% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 74 |
2º
|
82% | |
|
|
3º
|
52 | 59 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 55 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 45 |
5º
|
87.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 40 |
6º
|
46% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 40 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
42% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 35 |
9º
|
38% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 32 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
|
12º
|
27 | 31 |
11º
|
25% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 31 |
12º
|
24% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 31 |
13º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 28 |
14º
|
40.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
77% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 19 |
16º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
89% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
11% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chengdu Rongcheng
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
HAN
1 - 3
CBC
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
WFC
1 - 1
CBC
32%
26%
42%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
CBC
2 - 0
GUA
78%
14%
8%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
CBC
2 - 1
TIT
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 1
CBC
15%
24%
61%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Changchun Yatai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 0
SHI
56%
23%
22%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
SJF
2 - 1
CHA
40%
26%
35%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
TIT
4 - 3
CHA
47%
23%
30%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
SHA
3 - 2
CHA
68%
20%
13%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
TIT
2 - 2
CHA
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |