Cheng Fung vs Chao Pak Kei analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.3%
47.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
5.3%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
2-9
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cheng Fung
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
BEN
3 - 0
CHF
65%
17%
19%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
CHF
2 - 2
LUL
77%
14%
9%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
CPK
1 - 1
CHF
64%
17%
19%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
CHF
1 - 2
BEN
38%
21%
41%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
HSA
1 - 2
CHF
15%
18%
67%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Chao Pak Kei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
CPK
4 - 2
HSA
90%
7%
3%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
BEN
4 - 3
CPK
53%
18%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
CPK
1 - 1
CHF
64%
17%
19%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
HSA
1 - 7
CPK
9%
12%
80%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CPK
9 - 0
LUL
84%
10%
6%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |