Chemnitzer vs Zwickau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chemnitzer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1982 |
CZJ
2 - 1
CHE
71%
18%
12%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1982 |
CHE
4 - 3
FVF
45%
25%
31%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1982 |
MAG
2 - 1
CHE
75%
15%
10%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1982 |
CHE
1 - 1
SGD
26%
25%
49%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1982 |
COT
0 - 2
CHE
30%
27%
43%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Zwickau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1982 |
ZWI
1 - 1
BCB
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1982 |
BFC
3 - 0
ZWI
88%
8%
4%
|
70 | 91 | 21 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1982 |
ZWI
3 - 4
SVM
65%
21%
15%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1982 |
ERF
5 - 2
ZWI
68%
19%
14%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1982 |
ZWI
2 - 2
FVF
29%
27%
44%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |