Chemnitzer vs St. Pauli II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
10.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chemnitzer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2009 |
GOS
0 - 2
CHE
33%
25%
42%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
CHE
1 - 1
HAL
34%
29%
36%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
HAN
2 - 0
CHE
44%
26%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
CHE
2 - 1
BAB
39%
28%
33%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
WSV
2 - 2
CHE
39%
25%
36%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
St. Pauli II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
STP
3 - 1
HER
19%
22%
59%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
STP
1 - 3
LUB
18%
25%
57%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
GOS
3 - 2
STP
68%
18%
14%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2009 |
STP
1 - 1
HAL
18%
26%
56%
|
27 | 54 | 27 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2009 |
STP
4 - 3
BAR
58%
22%
21%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |