Chemnitzer vs Dynamo Dresden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
53%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chemnitzer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
CZJ
2 - 1
CHE
73%
16%
11%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1978 |
CHE
0 - 0
BFC
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1978 |
BCB
2 - 2
CHE
48%
23%
30%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1978 |
CHE
0 - 0
MAG
25%
25%
51%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1978 |
WIS
0 - 5
CHE
37%
27%
36%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
SGD
6 - 0
ERF
83%
11%
6%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1978 |
FCU
0 - 2
SGD
16%
24%
60%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1978 |
SGD
5 - 1
LOK
76%
15%
10%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1978 |
HAL
0 - 0
SGD
27%
25%
49%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1978 |
SGD
5 - 0
ZWI
83%
12%
6%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |