Chemnitzer vs Dynamo Dresden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chemnitzer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1970 |
ZWI
2 - 0
CHE
55%
25%
20%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1970 |
CHL
1 - 1
CHE
57%
24%
18%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1970 |
CHE
2 - 0
ERF
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1970 |
STA
2 - 1
CHE
26%
31%
43%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1970 |
CHE
1 - 0
BFC
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1970 |
SGD
1 - 0
ERF
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1970 |
STA
2 - 0
SGD
27%
32%
41%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1970 |
SGD
0 - 0
BFC
54%
25%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1970 |
BSG
0 - 1
SGD
48%
23%
30%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1970 |
SGD
3 - 0
BWA
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |