Chemnitzer vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
24.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chemnitzer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1976 |
FCU
1 - 2
CHE
41%
28%
30%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1976 |
CHE
2 - 2
SGD
24%
24%
52%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1976 |
ZWI
2 - 0
CHE
54%
25%
22%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1976 |
FVF
0 - 1
CHE
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1976 |
CHE
0 - 0
BWA
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1976 |
ERF
1 - 0
HAL
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1976 |
BFC
3 - 0
ERF
72%
17%
12%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1976 |
ERF
2 - 0
MAG
30%
25%
46%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1976 |
COT
0 - 3
ERF
33%
27%
40%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1976 |
ERF
1 - 3
BFC
41%
26%
34%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | -1 |