Chemnitzer vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
16.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chemnitzer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1973 |
ROS
1 - 1
CHE
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1973 |
CHE
3 - 1
CHL
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1973 |
CZJ
6 - 1
CHE
76%
16%
9%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1973 |
BSG
2 - 0
CHE
36%
29%
35%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1973 |
CHE
4 - 1
BWA
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1973 |
ERF
4 - 0
BSG
60%
24%
17%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1973 |
BWA
0 - 0
ERF
55%
24%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1973 |
ERF
0 - 0
FVF
45%
22%
33%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1973 |
SGD
1 - 0
ERF
82%
12%
6%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1973 |
ERF
1 - 2
MAG
30%
27%
43%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |