Chemnitzer vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chemnitzer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1970 |
STA
2 - 1
CHE
26%
31%
43%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1970 |
CHE
1 - 0
BFC
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1970 |
BSG
3 - 0
CHE
46%
23%
32%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1969 |
BWA
2 - 1
CHE
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1969 |
CHE
2 - 0
ROS
50%
25%
26%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1970 |
BFC
1 - 0
ERF
52%
25%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1970 |
CHL
4 - 1
ERF
56%
25%
19%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1970 |
ERF
1 - 0
STA
76%
15%
9%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1969 |
BSG
4 - 2
ERF
45%
23%
32%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1969 |
ERF
2 - 2
BWA
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |