Chemnitzer vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
61.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chemnitzer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1957 |
SAC
1 - 1
CHE
84%
11%
6%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1957 |
CHE
2 - 2
ZWI
21%
20%
59%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1957 |
BWA
3 - 0
CHE
88%
8%
4%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1957 |
BFW
4 - 0
CHE
77%
14%
9%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1957 |
CHE
0 - 0
HAL
29%
23%
49%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1957 |
ERF
0 - 0
LAS
58%
21%
22%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1957 |
ERF
1 - 1
ABS
56%
22%
22%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1957 |
VOW
0 - 2
ERF
53%
21%
26%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1957 |
BWA
0 - 2
ERF
68%
18%
15%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1957 |
ERF
2 - 0
SAC
55%
22%
23%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |