Chemnitzer vs Paderborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
50%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chemnitzer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2005 |
FCU
1 - 1
CHE
47%
26%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
CHE
2 - 0
STP
31%
28%
41%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
HAM
2 - 0
CHE
51%
26%
23%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
CHE
0 - 2
OSN
27%
27%
46%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2005 |
CHE
2 - 0
WOL
51%
26%
23%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
PAD
4 - 1
LUB
45%
24%
31%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2005 |
F95
1 - 1
PAD
33%
26%
41%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
PAD
1 - 0
BOR
68%
18%
14%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2005 |
OSN
1 - 0
PAD
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
BIE
2 - 3
PAD
18%
23%
59%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |