Chemnitzer vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
24%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
61%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.8%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chemnitzer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2001 |
CHE
0 - 1
ROT
27%
27%
46%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
STP
3 - 0
CHE
66%
21%
13%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
CHE
2 - 3
AAA
30%
25%
45%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2001 |
M05
3 - 1
CHE
59%
24%
17%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2001 |
ULM
3 - 0
CHE
75%
16%
9%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2001 |
FCN
0 - 1
SGF
63%
21%
17%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2001 |
MON
1 - 1
FCN
60%
22%
19%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2001 |
FCN
2 - 1
ARB
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2001 |
MSV
3 - 2
FCN
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2001 |
FCN
2 - 1
SVS
73%
17%
10%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | +1 |