Chemnitzer vs BSG Wismut Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
41.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chemnitzer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1963 |
CHE
5 - 1
ZWI
35%
24%
41%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1963 |
SAC
1 - 1
CHE
71%
17%
12%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1963 |
CHE
2 - 2
LAS
50%
23%
27%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1963 |
ERF
3 - 2
CHE
68%
18%
13%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1963 |
CHE
0 - 2
VOW
28%
24%
49%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1963 |
SST
1 - 0
BWA
48%
22%
30%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1963 |
BWA
1 - 1
CZJ
49%
23%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1963 |
BFC
5 - 1
BWA
52%
22%
26%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1963 |
BWA
2 - 2
ROS
55%
23%
23%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1963 |
CHL
2 - 0
BWA
49%
23%
28%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |