Chemnitzer vs B. Dortmund II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
35%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chemnitzer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2005 |
BIE
4 - 3
CHE
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
CHE
0 - 0
PAD
24%
26%
50%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2005 |
FCU
1 - 1
CHE
47%
26%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
CHE
2 - 0
STP
31%
28%
41%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
HAM
2 - 0
CHE
51%
26%
23%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2005 |
BOR
0 - 2
LUB
23%
24%
53%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
F95
1 - 1
BOR
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2005 |
BOR
1 - 1
BIE
64%
20%
16%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
HER
1 - 1
BOR
54%
23%
23%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
PAD
1 - 0
BOR
68%
18%
14%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |