Europa League 1/32
Global 3-2
Chemnitzer vs Boavista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chemnitzer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1989 |
CHE
3 - 0
CZJ
52%
26%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1989 |
CHE
1 - 1
SGD
21%
25%
53%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1989 |
HAL
4 - 0
CHE
48%
26%
26%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 1989 |
COT
0 - 0
CHE
31%
28%
42%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1989 |
CHE
2 - 2
COT
76%
16%
9%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1989 |
BOA
5 - 1
UNM
70%
19%
11%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1989 |
BOA
2 - 0
CHA
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1989 |
TIR
1 - 1
BOA
37%
30%
33%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1989 |
SLB
2 - 2
BOA
70%
20%
10%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1989 |
BOA
0 - 1
BEL
59%
24%
16%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |