Chemnitzer vs BFC Dynamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
33.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chemnitzer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1976 |
MAG
1 - 3
CHE
78%
14%
8%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1976 |
CHE
5 - 1
BWA
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1976 |
BSG
2 - 0
CHE
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1976 |
CHE
2 - 0
LOK
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1976 |
ROS
2 - 0
CHE
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
BFC Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1976 |
BFC
2 - 1
HAL
72%
17%
12%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1976 |
CZJ
2 - 0
BFC
62%
21%
17%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1976 |
MAG
2 - 1
BFC
65%
20%
16%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1976 |
BFC
1 - 1
BWA
75%
16%
10%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1976 |
BSG
0 - 3
BFC
34%
27%
40%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |